Everything You Need to Know About the Chiefs vs. Texans Showdown: Time, Team Pick, Channel, Injuries, Weather, Odds, and More 👇👇

Which NFL team has the best chance of winning the NFL playoff game between the Houston Texans and the Kansas City Chiefs?

ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the AFC playoff game on Saturday, Jan. 18 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City and it offers interesting win probabilities for the game between the No. 4 Texans and No. 1 Chiefs.

How do the win probabilities compare with other NFL playoff picks, NFL playoff predictions and NFL playoff odds for the 2:30 p.m. MST NFL postseason game between the Texans and Chiefs?

The AFC postseason game can be seen on ABC and ESPN (stream with FUBO), with Joe Buck (play-by-play) and Troy Aikman (analyst) as the announcers.

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs win probabilities

The Chiefs have a 62.7% chance to defeat the Texans on Saturday, according to ESPN’s Matchup Predictor.

The site gives Houston a 37.3% shot to beat Kansas City in the divisional-round NFL playoff game.

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs prediction

The Arizona Republic is predicting a 24-16 win for the Chiefs over the Texans in Saturday’s second-round NFL playoff game

Jeremy Cluff wrote: “We did not see the Texans beating the Chargers in our predictions last week. We were wrong. Were we ever. Houston dominated Los Angeles, 32-12 in the wild-card round. With that being said, we don’t see the Texans beating the Chiefs this week, either. Will we be wrong again? Kansas City is a big favorite after having the bye week to rest and prepare for Houston. The Chiefs beat the Texans in Kansas City in Week 16, 27-19. We expect a similar result in the divisional round. Patrick Mahomes won’t struggle against the Texans’ defense like Justin Herbert did.”

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs picks

Kansas City is a favorite in other sites’ picks for the outcome of the NFL playoff game against Houston on Saturday.

USA TODAY Sports predicts a 27-21 win for the Chiefs over the Texans in the NFL postseason matchup.

Bookies.com picks a win for the Chiefs, but is taking the Texans with the points.

Sports Betting Dime’s formula forecasts an 18.3-13.4 game score, with Kansas City advancing past Houston into the next round of the NFL playoffs.

VOTE: Who wins Saturday’s Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs NFL playoff game? (Picks, predictions, win probabilities, odds: https://t.co/m7mGW2JVu2)#HTownMade #ChiefsKingdom #NFL #NFLplayoffs

— Jeremy Cluff (@Jeremy_Cluff) January 16, 2025

Houston Texans vs Kansas City Chiefs odds

The Chiefs are an 8-point favorite over the Texans in NFL playoff odds for the game, courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook.

Kansas City is -500 on the moneyline, while Houston is +375.

The over/under (point total) is set at 42 points.